Kevin Collins

Kevin Collins

@kwcollins.bsky.social

3678

Posts

Co-founder, Survey 160. Loves survey and voter participation. Researcher. Democrat. YIMBY. Husband and Dad. Opinion haver and measurer. Outdoors and cooking enthusiast. He/Him

Posts Replies Media Lists Feeds

This — Project 2025, the Supreme Court’s legalistic usurpation of power, and Trump’s current rhetoric on the campaign trail — can only be understood as an attack on our Constitutional government itself, less violent means than those used in Jan 6 but no less threatening to our democratic republic

A second American Revolution, this one aimed at unwinding democracy in favor of a monarchy. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Analysis | The target of the right’s ‘revolution’ is pluralistic democracy itselfwww.washingtonpost.com The president of the Heritage Foundation said, “We are in the process of the second American Revolution, which will remain bloodless if the left allows it to be.”

All monarchies are inherently illegitimate and as such monarchical titles should be ignored by civilized society

"Today Prime Minister, Sir Kier Starmer, met with King Charles the Third, by the Grace of God, of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and of His other Realms and Territories King, Head of the Commonwealth, Defender of the Faith, to form a government. The meeting between ..."

Reposted by

The newly unsealed Jeffrey Epstein documents have Donald Trump's name all over them. He had been secretly disguised as 'Doe 174.'www.businessinsider.com Former President Donald Trump may have fought to keep his name redacted in court documents before a judge ordered it unsealed.

Has anyone put out a report on polling accuracy in the UK elections yet ?

Let’s just make this a national policy.

Biden telling people that he'll go out less after 8pm and get more sleep is a great strategy in being relatable.

Reposted by

Lmao they just changed the title of the piece from “Why I don’t vote” to “Why I won’t vote” rather than tell readers that the guy actually does vote

Reposted by

Why I Don't Vote (OK, I Do Vote, but I Would Like to Discourage You, NY Times Reader, For Doing So For Some Reason) Via @bubbaprog.ilovecitr.us

Man, if it turns out that the right winger telling NY Times readers that they should follow his example and not vote did in fact vote in the last two elections, the Times should add this to the piece. Better than a retraction, since it illustrates a willful hypocrisy.

I mean, you could get brain worms that way

JFK: Ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country. RFK: Only those who dare to fail greatly can ever achieve greatly. RFK Jr.:

A little pre holiday fun … even if I have quibbles with some of the response options

And of course there is a quiz www.pewresearch.org/methods/quiz...

Quiz: Test your polling knowledgewww.pewresearch.org Test your knowledge of public opinion polling by taking our 10-question quiz.

Reposted by

This week we released a new version of our short course “Public Opinion Polling Basics.” In six short lessons, I discuss why we have polls, how polls work, the challenges facing polls, what to look for in a poll, and more. A new lesson focuses on election polling. www.pewresearch.org/course/publi...

Public Opinion Polling Basicswww.pewresearch.org How do polls work? What are the different kinds of polls? And what should you look for in a high-quality opinion poll? A Pew Research Center survey methodologist answers these questions and more in si...

The answer to political anxiety is political organizing.

Reposted by

I've no doubt that the debate really is hurting Biden, but it's also worth bearing this in mind—written a month ago about Trump's felony conviction.

Reposted by

Presidential candidate who the far-right members of the Supreme Court just placed above the law tells voters how he will exercise his new powers.

This wolf comes as a wolf -- A. Scalia

One thing you can't say about the 6 justice majority is that they can't imagine or think a hypothetical parade of horribles won't happen. That's not this case. The wolf is at the door. The litigant in this case is the person who already was president, attempted a coup and is a career criminal.

"May you live in interesting times", said sincerely

Wild to watch horserace journalists suggest the most politically suicidal shit and pretend it's savvy. www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...

Continuing my obsession with the age crosstabs, in the Times latest Boomers (well, 65+) are more supportive of Biden than any other group in the reg voters universe, but narrowed to likely voters, Boomers and Zs (well, under 30) support at equal rates

Reposted by

"We are in the process of the second American Revolution, which will remain bloodless if the North allows it to be" Jefferson Davis, 1861

Heritage Foundation president celebrates Supreme Court presidential immunity ruling: "We are in the process of the second American Revolution, which will remain bloodless if the left allows it to be" www.mediamatters.org/project-2025...

Heritage Foundation president celebrates Supreme Court immunity decision: "We are in the process of the second American Revolution"www.mediamatters.org

Polling is very good for many things. Comparing hypothetical candidate matchups to actual candidate matchups is not one of them, for the straightforward reason that when someone turns from a hypothetical candidate to an actual candidate, attacks start and their favorability drops.

The Supreme Court, here, as in the 14A disqualification case, is straight up ignoring the plain text of the Constitution in order to help their political ally regain power. While I understand why this won't happen with this Congress, impeachment and removal is the only appropriate remedy.

"Judgment in Cases of Impeachment shall not extend further than to removal from Office, and disqualification to hold and enjoy any Office []: but the Party convicted shall nevertheless be liable and subject to Indictment, Trial, Judgment and Punishment, according to Law.

Reposted by

It’s demoralizing & demobilizing to speculate about extreme scenarios, even if they are plausible in a long enough timeline. Focus instead on what you can do to prevent them: building coalitions (including with those who you disagree with on other issues) & acting in solidarity

Reposted by

Stuff takes time. Pick your example—Hungary, Turkey, Russia, wherever—they are all quite distinct and didn’t get that way in a vacuum or overnight. Focus on the next thing rather than the hypothetical drawn from a different context.

Reposted by

I think it is wise and productive for people to take seriously the idea we are in a constitutional crisis in America. I don’t think it is wise or productive to assume what happens next is like what happens in semi consolidated or consolidated authoritarian systems.

Reposted by

Pwnallthethings

wE caNt rEvIeW tHe pResiDenTs oBvioUs mOtiVes wHeN hE sAys tHeY arE sEcrEt aftEr sAyiNg iT oUt lOud oN teLeVisiOn

Reposted by

if your instinct is "calm down, surely this is an exaggeration," allow me to assure you that it's really not

"Don't worry, if the president imprisons his political enemies, you can still get a writ of habeas corpus." "But to prove that's why you've been imprisoned requires proof of..." "Presidential motive!" "And under Trump v US, presidential motive is..." "Inadmissible!"

Reposted by

really cannot emphasize enough how plainly all this proves that the first priority of the next Democratic administration needs to be democracy reform --filibuster --electoral college --court reform --dc and pr statehood --new voting rights act --gerrymandering

Reposted by

Official act. Immune.

Republicans hate libraries, a recurring series

This is one of the most dystopian signs I've ever seen. Republicans are quickly turning this country into an unrecognizable freakshow.

Zero change in Biden/Trump horse race from the previous CNN/SSRS national poll in April

CNN's new poll: Trump leads Biden 49/43. Trump leads Harris 47/45. Some differences: —Independents: Biden -10%. Harris +3%. —People of color: Biden +21. Harris +29. The side-by-side:

If someone were to write a comprehensive document of all of the things Trump has said he would do in office, and compare it to the powers granted him by the Court this term, I would read it

How convenient that Trump was talking about the removal and reappointment of ALL generals right after he gets elected.

Reposted by

Survey friends: If you might be interested or know someone, Verasight is offering discounted survey time ($1.50/respondent for up to 15 questions) for as many as 30k respondents in a potentially massive sample as part of the intake survey for a large study we're conducting. Contact me for details!