Sticking with Biden or running Harris would be *far* less risky than dedicating two of the next four months to Democrat infighting, followed by an unprecedented delegate voting process and dubious chances of even getting on the ballot. Knowing this shit is supposed to be these people's job
If you're so concerned about the stakes of this election you could just... spend the next four months writing about the stakes of this election. A constant drip of articles calling the Democratic nominee unfit is also not a great strategy for winning!
"They can't even pick a nominee who doesn't have dementia! His VP pick was so bad they skipped her and had en entire second primary. And we're supposed to trust these people to run the country?"
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I actually think people are getting a bit over their skis on freaking out over Biden! We're talking about one terrible debate performance, something that can be turned around with a few good TV appearances. And bowing out could hurt Dem polling more than it helps.
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Giving up the incumbent advantage because a bunch of disingenuous and/or nihilistic journos have condemned Biden like he's an old building seems the dumbest thing imaginable. Biden wasn't my choice in the 2020 primaries, but he's the president now, and just being the president is a big advantage.
I tend to agree with this, but I also wonder whether the incompetent advantages just a species of low N. These things happen so infrequently I’m not sure you can derive any implications from “data”
this "one terrible debate performance" was the realization of concerns that had been around for years over something which typically does not get better with time
“We’ve been waiting for him to look out of sorts and semi-hoarse in public - even though he speaks in public literally multiple times per week while looking fine - and GUESS WHAT MOTHERFUCKERS”
Outside of letting Kamala take the reins, I don’t see an option beside keeping Biden in. Running a cut rate primary right now would be a disaster. And I’m saying this as someone who reeeeaaaally doesn’t want to vote for Biden but probably will because *gestures at everything*.
It does not matter one bit if Biden is capable of doing the job. It doesn't matter one bit if the voter base of the DNC still supports Biden. SWING VOTERS WILL DETERMINE THIS ELECTION . As will young people who voted in 2020 but may not be hot to vote in 2024.
i think what the debate did was validate what we all knew, biden is not well, and now there's no putting that toothpaste back in the tube. before a flub was just a flub, but now any flub will be met with unending questions about mental capacity and acuity.
And it's still pretty fresh in people's minds that the Dems were telling everyone that Feinstein was physically fine and up to the job when we could all see that her face was falling off.
This is where I definitely disagree with you. Biden has been a problem for a while and that was starting to spread into the northeast. The problem isn’t (just) that the debate performance was really bad; it’s that it was MEANT to be reassuring and instead made things worse.
I was pretty sure he was going to lose BEFORE the performance bc Biden (and other Dems in leadership) seemed determined to not just ignore the left, but shit in their cheerios on climate and Israel for MONTHS in the most condescending way possible. Dude CAN’T WIN MICHIGAN w/o Arabs, and, well…
The Friday after the debate, I would’ve agreed with you.
What concerns me is that we haven’t *had* those TV appearances yet.
A competent campaign would’ve had two live interviews scheduled over the weekend, and done a town hall this week, and another interview Friday
The fact that Biden hasn’t done that, and has only called Congressional Democratic leaders *yesterday* and *today*, and won’t do a single TV event until 8 days after the debate is deeply troubling.
It’s either a fundamental lack of competence in the campaign, or a worry about Biden’s ability
The New York Times spent months priming people for this freakout, and now are pushing the narrative that they themselves created, all because they are mad he's not giving them the access they feel they deserve. And people are buying right into it.
I guess what I'm grappling with is, yes, the debate went poorly and everyone online who is well informed has an opinion. Meanwhile, no one I know actually watched it, they're low information voters, and their attention spans are about two seconds long. I know my personal experience is not reflective
of everyone, but I do also know that very online =/= average voter and we keep making that false assumption time and time again to our detriment. People are like, how could anyone in this country not know now what Trump is like! Well, lots of people! At best they read a headline or two, still.
Still not sure how the reality show carny barker doesn't spin dropping out into "I already beat their best guy(tm), I'll send home anyone they put in my way etc etc etc"
one bad debate that confirms in people’s minds the longest running criticism of his ability to be president. This isn’t the same as Obama struggling in one debate to Romney.
Literally THE FOLLOWING MORNING he had a great TV appearance at a rally in NC. He clearly had a mild cough, so like IDK the man was likely ran down and sick the previous night.
I can’t see him taking a turn for the better cognitively. and hinestly he wasn’t really sharp for a good while. also it makes it so that Democrats can’t talk about hiw they have the more qualified candidates and care about skills and results.
I don’t disagree with you but a few good tv performances should already be happening and they haven’t and it’s pretty much too late for that. Something’s clearly wrong in their camp.
This is assuming that it was, in fact, just one bad debate performance and not what everyone thinks it is, serious cognitive decline. If Biden were to be replaced now, there's still plenty of time to recover, if he goes into the debate in September and be the same or worse than it's over
Come on, man. That was not “one terrible debate performance”. And it has not been followed by a good TV interview or really any public appearances at all apart from one short teleprompted speech. And the debate was set up by Biden to reassure on the age question and refocus the election as a choice!
