Jonathan Ladd

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Jonathan Ladd

@jonmladd.bsky.social

Political Scientist. Assoc Prof in the McCourt School and Dept of Government at Georgetown.

Scholar of public opinion, polling, and media effects.

Also occasionally a Marilynne Robinson stan account.

https://www.jonathanmladd.com/
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I don’t know how to explain to our nation’s top editorial boards that the Democratic Party is an actual organization with a lot of rules and history to it, not just a store that distributes team jerseys, and it has already selected delegates to its nominating convention.
Cannot emphasize enough how pathetic these editorial boards are revealing themselves to be.
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People are very unhappy with most incumbents in major democracies. It will do us no good in the end if they lose, but Biden-Harris are in relatively good shape in comparison.
Exit polling suggests 410 seats for Labour and only 130 for the Tories, which “would be the worst defeat for the Conservatives in the nearly 200-year history of the party”
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He died half way through the third movie before the Empire was defeated. Famously his health didn't allow him to be there and finish the job.
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LOL
Why I Don't Vote (OK, I Do Vote, but I Would Like to Discourage You, NY Times Reader, For Doing So For Some Reason) Via @bubbaprog.ilovecitr.us
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The juxtaposition of these headlines is... unfortunate.
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That'll do it!
Justice Breyer recites the Declaration of Independence at town hall in Plainfield, New Hampshire (via Timothy Cornell)
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On this July 4, please pause to remember that one of the colonists’ complaints in the Declaration was that the Crown was paying its judges.
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Dedicated to the proposition that all people are created equal. Birthright citizenship Equal protection of the laws Due process of law No race or sex descrimination in voting No titles of nobility No insurrectionists in office No cruel and unusual punishment Happy Birthday America!
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Happy Fourth! As a public service, @ryanlcooper will help you update your Constitution by showing you all of the various sections that the Supreme Court has rendered inoperative.
The Supreme Court Has Murdered the Constitutionprospect.org America’s founding document is now an all-but-meaningless scrap of paper. Happy Fourth!
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Could you show us the actual words in the Constitution that say the president is immune from criminal law?
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Dedicated to the proposition that all people are created equal. Birthright citizenship Equal protection of the laws Due process of law No race or sex description in voting No titles of nobility No insurrectionists in office No cruel and unusual punishment Happy Birthday America!
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An aspiring dictator & convicted felon w history of treason may win the presidency. Profoundly corrupt SCOTUS justices undermined the constitution and gave him immunity from prosecution for past & future crimes. This is all political journalists should be writing about 24/7. We’re at the precipice.
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"Lawsuits are slow, they are complicated, they are often decided on arbitrary technicalities or total nonsense, and being so costly they are hideously biased toward the rich and well-connected." prospect.org/justice/amer...
American Government-by-Lawsuit Is a Disasterprospect.org Judicial review is not just anti-democratic, it strangles ordinary governance.
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if only Federalist 69 were just, in its entirely, Hamilton saying super clearly “sure, this constitution has one executive leader, but I can’t stress enough that it’s different from a king because a President is accountable, including to criminal law” avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century...
The Avalon Project : Federalist No 69avalon.law.yale.edu
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Could you show us the actual words in the Constitution that say the president is immune from criminal law?
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What I favor: Biden should make a statement in the East Room with Harris. He should say "I'm withdrawing from the race because I'm not certain I can serve a full 4 year term. I'm endorsing Harris and telling all my delegates to vote for her. She will continue my administration's policies."
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This week we released a new version of our short course “Public Opinion Polling Basics.” In six short lessons, I discuss why we have polls, how polls work, the challenges facing polls, what to look for in a poll, and more. A new lesson focuses on election polling. www.pewresearch.org/course/publi...
Public Opinion Polling Basicswww.pewresearch.org How do polls work? What are the different kinds of polls? And what should you look for in a high-quality opinion poll? A Pew Research Center survey methodologist answers these questions and more in si...
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Presidential candidate who the far-right members of the Supreme Court just placed above the law tells voters how he will exercise his new powers.
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God bless those who are strategic, not egotistical, when engaging in politics.
"At least 200 candidates from both the left-wing alliance and President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist coalition pulled out of the contest...in order to unite behind those remaining contenders with the best chance of beating Le Pen’s nationalists" www.politico.eu/article/fren...
French election: Rivals unite against Le Pen’s far rightwww.politico.eu Hundreds of candidates from Macron’s camp and the left-wing alliance withdraw in an effort to keep the National Rally out.
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Correct. It may or may not be wise for Biden to withdraw. But for the record, hypothetical match-ups are not good evidence of how well different candidates will actually perform. Popularity can change a lot in either direction when someone becomes a candidate for president.
Case in point: the long timeline of Hillary Clinton's approval polling. Favorability dropped when she became a candidate for senate, rebounded when she was SecState and not a candidate, dropped when she ran for President. news.gallup.com/poll/224330/...
Hillary Clinton Favorable Rating at New Lownews.gallup.com Hillary Clinton's favorable rating has dipped to 36%, the lowest Gallup has measured for her. Bill Clinton's favorable rating is now his lowest since 2001.
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One thing you can't say about the 6 justice majority is that they can't imagine or think a hypothetical parade of horribles won't happen. That's not this case. The wolf is at the door. The litigant in this case is the person who already was president, attempted a coup and is a career criminal.
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let's do the seal team six hypo. president orders st6 to assassinate a political rival bc rival is a threat to national security. possible this is absolutely immune under pres's commander in chief power. if it's not, then it gets presumptive immunity (which may be absolute anyway)
if your instinct is "calm down, surely this is an exaggeration," allow me to assure you that it's really not
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The Ford pardon of Nixon would have been totally unnecessary. A million other actions and arguments in American history assume presidents aren't immune. It's a totally new idea, nowhere in text or American tradition. Arguably the least originalist major SCOTUS decision in American history.
under the opinion in trump v. united states there was no need for john yoo to come up with an elaborate justification for torture. george w. bush could have ordered an interrogator to crush the testicles of a child, no questions asked.
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constitutional lawyers use your fucking brain challenge www.politico.com/news/2024/07...
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Tough week. At least it's Friday.