Jonathan Ladd

@jonmladd.bsky.social

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Political Scientist. Assoc Prof in the McCourt School and Dept of Government at Georgetown.

Scholar of public opinion, polling, and media effects.

Also occasionally a Marilynne Robinson stan account.

https://www.jonathanmladd.com/

Posts Replies Media

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Jonathan Ladd

Powerful reminder how much of politics comes down to elites solving (or not solving) the coordination problem. France, Iran, UK (Starmer purging Labour). Very different situation but US Democrats also facing big coordination problem. And we got Trump because 2016 R's did not solve theirs. #polisky

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Jonathan Ladd

Reply to

Chris Galdieri

Yes

But he was wrong. The religion was real, no?

This guy was such a G for telling his evil wizard cyborg boss that his religion is bullshit during a work meeting.

I'd be shocked if data came back showing a new desire for Biden to step down is a top down phenomenon. Every relatively normal (non political junkie) Dem I talk to, every one, thinks the debate showed Biden needs to step aside. NY Times coverage is annoying, but the debate created this.

If you think all the people who changed their mind on the wisdom of a Biden candidacy are consuming NY Times coverage first or second hand, I fear you are deluding yourself.

Has anyone touched grass and talked to any normie who wasn't alarmed by the debate? Anyone? I haven't. If anything, it's the "need to stick with Biden no matter what" that is a creation of high media consumption people.

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Jonathan Ladd

Read this, share this widely

I will bang this drum forever: in THEY THOUGHT THEY WERE FREE: THE GERMANS, 1933-45 Milton Mayer interviewed 10 ordinary Germans after WW2 to learn how fascism took hold. There was never a moment when everyone woke up:

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Jonathan Ladd

Me: "Mr President, I'd like to give you a bribe and commit some treason together." President: "Hold on, lets move this conversation to the Oval Office and bring in some White House aids so we are sure all this gets immunity."

My first read: If a president commits crimes unrelated to him being the most powerful person in the world, he can be prosecuted. But if explicitly uses his powers to commit crimes, he is at least presumptively, and probably absolutely immune from prosecution. I mean, holy shit.

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Jonathan Ladd

I don’t know what’s gonna happen and I am personally agnostic about it (and I’ll stop after this) but this is not a media creation. People in the Democratic Party are doing this. Successful or not, Democratic insiders are pursuing this.

Sen. Mark R. Warner (D-Va.) is attempting to assemble a group of Democratic senators to ask Joe Biden to exit the presidential race, according to two people with direct knowledge of the effort.

Sen. Mark Warner seeks to assemble group of Democratic senators to ask Biden to exit racewww.washingtonpost.com Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) is attempting to assemble a group of Democratic senators to go to the White House on Monday and ask that Joe Biden exit the presidential race, according to two people with dir...

Getting out of DC and reading some local journalism. Front page story here in Elizabethtown, IL

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Jonathan Ladd

This is excellent, from Sean Wilentz

‘The Dred Scott of Our Time’ | Sean Wilentzwww.nybooks.com The majority opinion in Trump v. United States, the most sweeping judicial reconstruction of the American presidency in history, secures the

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Jonathan Ladd

The Supreme Court’s immunity decision sidesteps history. Those who framed the Constitution agreed that unchecked presidential power was a terrible idea. Read the latest from @rudalev.bsky.social here: goodauthority.org/news/immunit...

The Supreme Court’s immunity decision sidesteps historygoodauthority.org Immunity for Donald Trump and future presidents does the Constitution, the country, and even the Supreme Court itself no favors.

He's just trolling political scientists at this point. www.instagram.com/reel/C9C0t_m...

The Recount on Instagram: "Think he saw “Jaws” one too many times"www.instagram.com 202 likes, 54 comments - therecount on July 5, 2024: "Think he saw “Jaws” one too many times".

🙁

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Jonathan Ladd

every supreme court ruling these days

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Jonathan Ladd

Mass. Gov. Maura Healey has told associates that Biden's candidacy is "irretrievable," according to the New York Times and the Boston Globe.

Healey reportedly questions Biden’s ability to win after debate debacle - The Boston Globewww.bostonglobe.com Coming from a staunch supporter, Governor Healey’s reported remarks are among the most notable of dour outlooks from prominent Democrats.

Brexit happened and isn't being undone. Those who make change face a backlash but that usually means they are winning, and the major policy change won't be undone. The lesson is that "increase the contradictions" theories of political change almost always don't work.

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Jonathan Ladd

Reply to

Pwnallthethings

The Tories could still win if King Charles has courage.

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Jonathan Ladd

+210 seats gained on a +2% increase in vote share. FPTP Democracy truly a miracle of representation.

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Jonathan Ladd

The newly unsealed Jeffrey Epstein documents have Donald Trump's name all over them. He had been secretly disguised as 'Doe 174.'www.businessinsider.com Former President Donald Trump may have fought to keep his name redacted in court documents before a judge ordered it unsealed.

Reply to

Don Moynihan

Looks like your spot for viewing worked out! I might try it next year!

People are very unhappy with most incumbents in major democracies. It will do us no good in the end if they lose, but Biden-Harris are in relatively good shape in comparison.

Exit polling suggests 410 seats for Labour and only 130 for the Tories, which “would be the worst defeat for the Conservatives in the nearly 200-year history of the party”

He died half way through the third movie before the Empire was defeated. Famously his health didn't allow him to be there and finish the job.

The only way the rebellion prevailed was that he passed the baton to his younger apprentice.

LOL

Why I Don't Vote (OK, I Do Vote, but I Would Like to Discourage You, NY Times Reader, For Doing So For Some Reason) Via @bubbaprog.ilovecitr.us

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Jonathan Ladd

Alexander Hamilton, Federalist 69 avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century...

The juxtaposition of these headlines is... unfortunate.

That'll do it!

Justice Breyer recites the Declaration of Independence at town hall in Plainfield, New Hampshire (via Timothy Cornell)

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Jonathan Ladd