I believe that he believes it.
But it reminds me of Keynes who said:
"practical men, who believe themselves to be exempt from any intellectual influences, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist"
It's better to be critical to your own certainties, too.
Heh, I know dude well enough to know he is for real but... he goes so hard like it's a clumsy but hilarious bit. Def "providing a POV you won't find anywhere else." Pathological contrairian but so strident. Honestly envious of a lack of self awareness so deep and pure. Blissful even.
There is a feedback loop of money and adoration that slowly nudges their personal Overton window, and they just adopt and even believe the ideas that get the most attention.
I remember reading Nate Silver's comforting analysis that Trump had less than a 2% chance of winning the presidency because there were like 8 clear things he had to do (GOP nomination, beat Dem opponent, etc.) and Nate gave him a 50/50 chance at each of those things, equaling voila! <2%. Brilliant
Remember the line in American Horror Story, seson 6, subtitled "Cult" where Sarah Paulson's character was just bawling bcz of the 2016 prez election ourcome and she shouts, "F*CK YOU, NATE SILVER!!!"
That expressed it all for me.
I looked it up and it’s just slash with real people (does EVERYTHING need an acronym?).So in this case one of those real people would be Nate Silver and
oh god I just pictured him fucking why didn’t I trust Mara