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bouie is literally the only person on the NYT board who is behaving and responding to the debate like a professional that has followed and covered a presidential election. i mean that seriously, i'm not being snarky.
if you actually get *paid* to write about politics for a living, screaming that the nominee has to drop out after one bad debate *in june* (and one in which the challenger did not do well, either), you are unqualified for your job and your salary
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a bad debate performance by an incumbent early in the summer isn't even unusual, it's pretty normal, and the challenger is facing sentencing for more than three dozen felony charges in a couple of weeks, insisting that it's over for the incumbent *now*, *in june* is absurd
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If Donald Trump is incarcerated Biden must lock himself up to lower the temperature and heal divisions.
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The panic pairs hilariously with the “why is Biden doing this so early?” talking point from the last month. I dunno, guys, maybe this is why? Test the waters with CNN while voters are still mostly tuned out?
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I love that he had the balls to say the debate won’t change the dynamic of the race.
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Good Grief, it was quite the collective meltdown over at the NYT.
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Has all the energy of being the go-to “Remember this dumb shit?” thing everyone posts when Biden hits 270 with a 1.3% margin in Pennsylvania.
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I want little more than for Biden to cease existing (yes, Trump ceasing to exist is ever so slightly higher on the list) and I see no lies here.
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He had freaks melting down in his replies simply from asking “why wouldn’t it be Kamala then?”
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Because she polls even worse than Biden. Do you want to win or be politically correct?
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Biden steps down. Harris is muscled aside in favor of Andy Beshear. Jim Clyburn and other high ranking blacl Democrats says “wait a sec, why are we elevating Harris?” what happens next?
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“buh you just love identity politics” doesn’t get around the fact that parties are coalitions, Harris has a real and influential constituency, and ignoring it could prove a problem.
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(also, no real evidence that a non-Harris Democrat would not also be saddled by the unpopularity of the Biden administration)
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right, like, the natural question to this hypothetical replacement candidate is "what would you, as president, do differently than the biden administration has done", and i doubt you find anyone willing to discuss that
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I’m torn on this question and think you’re making a compelling serious argument. But I will say the one bit of evidence we *do* have that a non Biden D would not be saddled with the unpopularity is that D’s are polling like 5-7 points ahead of Biden in basically every statewide race.
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The median outcome is going through the pain of a renomination process, getting Mayor Pete up there then a bunch of polls are like yep still Trump +2, sorry, bud
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Rebuilding a campaign seems challenging to me. But I guess it wasn't hard for President Humphrey.
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I was listening to Political Gabfest this morning. I like those guys, you've been on there, B-boy. They were ready to get rid of Biden, and then with Harris with barely a thought, bc she can be tarred with the economy. You can try that if you want one of the ugliest conventions imaginable.
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It would depend on if Harris (or mystery Dem) was able to change direction on Biden's least popular policies, for example, Gaza.
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Yeah with the public this isn't close (SurveyUSA poll):
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Yes who could ever dispute the flawless screenshot data of completely useless poll. When was it taken, who was polled, what was the control group etc etc come on man
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BW (7% of US population) aren't a sufficient base for a national White House victory.
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She is wildly unpopular in battleground states. Her favorability without Biden on the ticket slips and will not increase. We’re fucked either way
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If Biden were to step aside, you get Harris. I’m not saying that’s good or bad just know that is the only option should Biden step aside. If you think they’re going to sidestep the first Black female to be veep for some Midwestern white dude you just aren’t paying attention.
bsky.app
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It all makes sense if you assume actions do not have reactions, you don’t understand the politics of your own party, and you believe in magical thinking.
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it is treating politics like a game of madden
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And the "is muscled" readily collapses on examination. The only one in the party with that muscle is Biden, & why in God's name would Biden be engineering his own replacement by undermining his hand-picked successor? One night of bad headlines becomes a persistent nightmare on the party's chest
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how exactly does one effectively muscle a coalition?
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By being its leader; exactly the sort of thing that makes one an effective nominee. They are begging for Biden to show his effectiveness by disqualifying himself for ineffectiveness
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I mean, you risk serious injury without a spotter.
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If D’s are shitting the bed after last night, how do you think I’s and “never Trumpers” are feeling? Does anyone honestly think after last night we gained support from those demographics?
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Gained? No. But they'll come back soon enough, especially if Biden can make more displays like he did in Raleigh today. Never Trumpers are *never voting Trump* so I'm not too worried about their preferences. Meanwhile, Trump is getting sentenced in two weeks.
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I was just in an extended thread elsewhere where everyone hated Kamala and was adamant she couldn’t be the nominee. I don’t understand why people hate her. Wouldn’t it look really bad to pass over her, especially for a man or a white man?
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If you want a huge chunk of the party's actual base to sit out November this is a great way to do it
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It's qwhyte hard to understand.
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I don't even know who the fuck Andy Beshear is
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He’s the governor of KY. Good dude. He’ll get his shot eventually but it’s not this year.
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yeah, he's fine, whitmer's fine, pritzker is fine, wes moore is fine, they're all fine, but none of them are winning a general election after a nasty floor fight and with five months to run