Some of you will say to me, you’ll say, “Nate silver used to be good!”
And I will say “Hush. This is not a man changed, this is a fulfillment of who this man has always been.”
Getting his ass rich on selling us something that actively hurt us, and doing it because it let his narcissism, his sense that he alone was better than everyone else, flourish.
My partner once again being smarter than me, I used to read the odd Nate Silver piece but she insisted on a no Nate Silver rule in our home and as usual she was so right
I remember as a TV producer covering the 2008 election and we'd use polling in our coverage, but not all the time. Usually when it was a significant national or local poll.
Now it's just all polling and horserace all the time.
I actually remember the anchor I worked with would refuse to run just a poll on its own. There needed to be some other reporting; a policy element, etc. He refused, admirably, to do horserace. Those days are dead.
The thing that's frustrating about Noah Smith is that he had a really good byline about economics where he was respected and he threw it all away for poster's madness
France recently rejected the far right despite what the polls there said about them winning. I firmly believe Biden and the Democrats can do the same and overcome the odds stacked against them.
Whenever I see takes like Noah's I can't help but think they have a vision of the Democratic party not unlike the delusional vision of Hollywood Naomi Watts's character has in Mulholland Drive, some dark force behind a wall that explains why things haven't gone their way.
You can get some wild tales from the baseball stats community about him as well.
How his system would constantly wildly overrate certain types of players, no matter how much he claimed to have fixed it. And how he'd get mad if you brought up certain names that hadn't done as well as her predicted.
really can't get over people thinking we'll have a fair election in 2028 if trump wins this year.
the doj will hang no role in enforcing rights if states restrict voting, everyone involved in Jan6 will have been pardoned, and we likely end up with another gop scotus justice by then.
It will absolutely never stop being funny that when Nate Silver founded 538 dot com he published a mission statement for it, essentially a screed, saying that he and the people who worked for him would only ever report what the data said, would never just make up bullshit based on their prejudices.
A lot of juiced up fuckwits high on their own supply are demonstrating their inability to recognize what's going on here because their rights have never been a fucking afterthought.
