Somehow the "Project 2025" branding has juice, I guess it conjures up some cabal of old white men plotting to ruin the country. Decent low social trust outreach. Glad something is doing that.
just watched 74 people speaking at least a dozen different languages become american citizens in a ceremony at monticello, where the speakers were themselves children of immigrants. inspiring stuff and a vivid illustration of what reactionaries want to snuff out
I don't think we know that they'll vote. It's true that Trump is gaining little to no ground, but "two way vote share among voters who express an opinion" is still the most predictive.
Harris is a clearly super alternative now and will be in a few weeks as well.
/5 …but it’s obvious that my statement can be introduced as evidence if I’m accused of murder.
Contrast this type of Presidential immunity. Say Donald Trump, days into his second term, meets with the Department of Justice and demands a way to deport all Muslims, reviling them as subhuman.
/4 More powerful, to a trial lawyer, is the prohibition on the use of immune acts as evidence. In almost every other context (save Speech & Debate), you can use things as evidence when you can’t prosecute for them. If I say “this man must die,” that’s usually protected by the First Amendment ….
There are two elements to the immunity decision that are particularly extreme in a way that many will miss: (1) motive is irrelevant and (2) immune acts are not just excluded from prosecution, they’re excluded from evidence.
/1
This is what's mind blowing on up of everything else. The SCOTUS conservatives haven't created a some of immunity out of some public safety or economic or military threat, they've created it for a mediocre real estate developer who tried to overturn an election.
If like 1 in every 1000 low turnout voters is answering polls because they're angry, but the turnout will be the same, it's all junk.
There's also someone about old white Dems filing up the quota first, so everybody else gets skewed the other way.
My doctor: It's actually amazing he has survived Posting Disease for over 50 years.
Me: A sesame seed bun should be made entirely of sesame seeds
My doctor: If there's anything you want to say, do it now
My grandchildren: Goodbye. We love you
Me: Air conditioner where is air shampoo
The media market is very fractured, to "know" how the debate plays among dropoff and swing voters, you have to see what's happening in a lot of places.
And that their brokered convention scenario is an Aaron Sorkin-esque fantasy because most of them are unwilling to get behind Harris. (And since most of them are unwilling to get behind Harris *now*, they're signaling they can't be relied on to boost her if she is the nominee.)
Harris is a new generation of politician but she has Biden-esque favorables. Dems would arguably be better off with a popular purple state governor (Whitmer, Shapiro, Evers, Polis, Beshear).
For the record my opinion is
1. No evidence Biden should drop out at the moment.
2. IF he does, Harris is the clear replacement.
3. TODAY I'd rather have not Harris but maybe her favorables change.
My biggest complaint is that I think they should have hired more Never Trump Republicans and business friendly Democrats, and just pick and choose on where to antagonize the business community.
Both the “black jobs” remark and using palestinian as a slur are hopefully clarifying as to actual Trump’s ideology and worldview, in contrast with the imaginary trump some people have built up in their heads as the memory of his administration has receded
it feels like the whiteness of big political media spaces right now is having a big effect on how people are thinking about the debate. eg I have seen relatively little discussion of trump's "black jobs" comment, which immediately exploded on black twitter
Reducing Trump's terrible debate performance to "he lied a lot" misses a bunch of important stuff. It was as much - or more - of an incompetent disqualifying performance than Biden's.
One of the funny things with pundits being alarmed about Biden being old and not making decisions is that it implicitly suggests that when Trump was president he was looking over dossiers and intelligence briefings and not just watching old episodes of Baywatch
